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Adverse Selection

Adverse selection is the proclivity of those with higher risk to purchase insurance in greater amounts than those with lower risk. Much of insurance law and practice is designed to control adverse selection. This simulator shows the effect on adverse selection of (a) characteristics of the pool of potential insureds and (b) risk classification. The user can change the distribution of risk and risk aversion among the risk pool and the way in which the insurer classifies risk.

In this Demonstration, blue represents low risk and purchases insurance, orange represents low risk and does not purchase insurance, green represents high risk and purchases insurance, and red represents high risk and does not purchase insurance. The absence of a particular color group from the figure means that, given the characteristics of the pool and the risk classification system employed, no one falls into that category. Thus, when risk aversion is set very high and the utility gain from risk reduction increases commensurately, there is sometimes an absence of red or orange points.
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